For the general election in presidential and midterm
years, continuously updating reports provide the national balance of power/trend
information for Governor, U.S. Senate and U.S. House. There is one report
for each.
The individual national balance of power/trend reports
show a party breakdown if the present trends in the vote count continue
for races for Governors, U.S. Senate and U.S. House.
This report is in the format similar to the national
trend report, but tracks the changes to the U.S. House seats at the state
level.
XML
Element |
Description |
trendtable |
The tag for this
report. |
@office |
Name of office
(Governor, U.S. Senate or U.S. House). |
@OfficeTypeCode |
Office type code
(G,
S
or H). |
@Test |
Indicates whether
this is a TEST (Test="1")
or LIVE election day report (Test="0"). |
@timestamp |
The date and time
when the report was last updated. |
party/@title |
Party abbreviation
("Dem", "GOP" or "Others").
Note |
|
Effective
2024 GE, the U.S. Senate and U.S. House trend reports
contain the following information if available:
|
|
|
|
|
trend/@name |
The name of the
trend in this section. |
"Current" |
The total number
of seats for the office for each party, before the current election. |
"Won" |
The number of seats
for each party that have been declared winners by the AP in the
current election. |
"Leading" |
The number of seats
for each party that are currently leading but have not been declared
winners by the AP in the current election. For a candidate to
be counted as "leading," both the EEVP
and precincts reporting
must be greater than 5%. |
"Holdovers" |
The number of Governor
or U.S. Senate seats for each party that are not up for election
in the current election. (For example, only one-third of the Senate
is up for election each year, so two-thirds of the senators are
holdovers.)
Note |
|
All U.S. House
seats are up for any given election, so Holdovers will
be 0 for the U.S.
House. |
|
|
|
|
"Winning Trend" |
Party breakdown
if present trend continues (Won, Leading and Holdovers combined). |
"InsufficientVote" |
The number of seats
for each party where the race is ignored in trend calculations.
Races with fewer than 5% of precincts reporting, with less than
5% of registered voters having voted so far, and with no declared
winner are considered to have insufficient votes. Uncalled, uncontested
races are included as part of the Insufficient Vote. |
NetChange |
Net change is broken
down into two subcategories - Winners and Leaders. |
trend/@name |
The name of the
trend in this section. |
"Winners" |
The number of seats
that each party has won or lost in races where a winner has been
declared. Any races where a winner has not been declared
are ignored in this calculation.
For example:
If two races have
been called and both for Democrats, and the incumbents in
both of these races are Republicans, then the net change winners
would be +2 for DEMs and -2 for GOP.
If a third race
is then called with a GOP winner and a GOP incumbent, the
net change would remain +2 DEM and -2 GOP.
If a fourth race
is called for a GOP winner where the incumbent is a DEM, then
the net change winners would be +1 DEM and -1 GOP.
|
"Leaders" |
The number of seats
that each party would win or lose in races where the winner has
not been declared. Races with insufficient votes are not
included in Net Change Leaders. Net Change Winners and Net
Change Leaders may be added together to get net change trends,
assuming that the leaders will become winners. |
InsufficientVote |
Races with insufficient
votes are broken down into categories based on the incumbent parties. |
trend/@name |
The name of the
trend in this section. |
"Dem Open" |
The number of races
with a Dem incumbent not
running for re-election. |
"GOP Open" |
The number of races
with a GOP incumbent not
running for re-election. |
"Caucus with Dem Open" |
(For U.S. Senate
and U.S. House trends effective
2024 GE) The number of races with a non-running
incumbent who caucuses with Democrats. |
"Caucus with GOP Open" |
(For U.S. Senate
and U.S. House trends effective
2024 GE) The number of races with a non-running
incumbent who caucuses with Republicans. |
"Oth Open" |
The number of races
with a minor party incumbent not
running for re-election. |
"Dem Incumbent" |
The number of races
with a Dem incumbent running for re-election. |
"GOP Incumbent" |
The number of races
with a GOP incumbent running for re-election. |
"Caucus with Dem Incumbent" |
(For U.S. Senate
and U.S. House trends effective
2024 GE) The number of races with a running incumbent who
caucuses with Democrats. |
"Caucus with GOP Incumbent" |
(For U.S. Senate
and U.S. House trends effective
2024 GE) The number of races with a running incumbent who
caucuses with Republicans. |
"Oth Incumbent" |
The number of races
with a minor party incumbent running for re-election. |
"Total" |
The total number
of races with insufficient votes. |